Statistics Canada's latest crop yield estimate is showing that Western Canada is poised to make a rebound this year.
Last year's drought caused yields and total production to plummet, which has been made up this year in many areas with good growing conditions.
Wheat is projected to increase 55.1 per cent and Canola is rising 41.7 per cent, with others close by.
Leftfield Commodity Research Vice President Jon Driedger says that the overall figures are echoing what he's seen from earlier trade estimates.
"I think the numbers, by and large, are not overly surprising, relative to trade estimates coming in. In that sense, it wasn't a particularly surprising report, but certainly what came out, and I think what was largely expected, is that certainly relative to last year we have a crop in Western Canada that is a lot closer to average, at least how it looks today."
Driedger says that the model, even as it comes out with an average estimate, could do more to take into account circumstances such as the dry spell in the west and the very moist spring that the east had.
While many crops saw production rocket back up, others were a bit slower, with corn at 6 per cent and soybeans at 1.8 per cent.
Driedger explains that's caused by geography.
"The thing with corn and soybeans is that production is very heavily concentrated in Eastern Canada. Whereas we in the prairies last year had, quite frankly, a wreck, actually conditions in Ontario and Eastern Canada were quite good last year, so those crops didn't have the sharp drop in production the way we did last year with wheat and canola and so forth."
As the prairies are harvesting, the numbers may end up turning out differently, as Driedger notes.
"We're sort of getting into harvest here in Western Canada, some places are well advanced and others are in the early stages. Really until that crop is in the bin it's just a best guess, so we should find out in a few weeks as farmers get further along in their fields as to how yields are shaking out, and that's really the ultimate measure."
"We did have some parts of Western Canada that were quite dry through the month of August," said Driedger, "So it is possible that maybe some crops have a bit of a downward revision by the time it comes off."
"Probably the biggest wildcard is there are parts of Western Canada where crop development is very delayed, so there is some risk of frost damage if we get some cold overnight and the crop's fully matured."